Greenspan Says ‘I Still Don’t Fully Understand’ What Happened
Former Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan has been identified as a prime culprit in creating the conditions for the financial crisis, in particular for opposing greater regulation and fostering a housing bubble. Today, Greenspan is getting his turn on Capitol Hill. And this time, he’s speaking in terms we can all understand: admitting some responsibility, while trying to deflect ultimate blame.
In his opening statement, he declared that he was in a “state of shocked disbelief” over the financial crisis, a “once-in-a-century credit tsunami.” Rep. Henry Waxman (D-CA), chairman of the House oversight committee, pushed him further in his questioning, asking Greenspan whether he’d made a mistake and whether his ideology had failed him. Greenspan admitted he’d “made a mistake” in believing that financial firms could manage their risk and were “best capable of protecting their own shareholders.” In particular, he said, he’d been wrong about the danger posed by credit-default swaps.
The collapse “shocked me,” he said. “I still do not fully understand why it happened and obviously to the extent that I figure where it happened and why I will change my views. If the facts change I will change.”
There was a “flaw in the model of how I perceived the world works.”
Here’s video of the exchange:
Greenspan’s mea culpa had its limits, however. He pushed back against the idea that his policies had helped foster a bubble. And when pressed about his public comments extolling the attractiveness of adjustable-rate mortgages, he said that he’d never said that such loans weren’t risky or preferable to fixed-rate loans.
Later, Greenspan said that it only became clear to him that the U.S. was in a housing bubble in “early 2006” and did not forecast a significant decline in home prices because “we’d never had one.” Economists had been warning about the housing bubble for a number of years at that point, and the bubble by some accounts popped in 2006.
The explosion of subprime loans, especially the fevered dealing in the securitization of those loans, was the root of the problem, Greenspan argued, but said that wasn’t obvious to regulators at the Federal Reserve. “We’re not smart enough as people, we can’t see events that far in advance. And it’s very difficult to say in retrospect why didn’t we catch something.”
It’s important not to “expect infallibility” of government officials, said Greenspan, a former government official.
The hearing is still ongoing and can be seen on the committee’s Web site and on C-Span.
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1 comments
Leo Z
Feb. 28, 2009, 4:42 a.m.
There is little risk of a national housing-price bubble. But in some cities, prices are vulnerable if the local economies weaken appreciably. There are still some cities where a mortgage payment isn’t so high that every payment sends you running for payday loans. Indianapolis is among the top of the most affordable cities to live in and it has occupied the top spot for several years. The average price for a home barely cracks $100,000, which is a price that the average family can afford without worrying about taking out payday loans. The worst city on the list was New York, followed by San Francisco. The calculation used the average family income (about $60,000 in Indianapolis) and the average cost of a home by area. Then those that were the most affordable topped the list. It may be worth getting Installment Loans to move there.
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